This Is directly from
http://wiki.thebuddyforum.com/index.php?title=BosslandGmbH:HelpDesk:Is_Botting_Safe?
Game owners tend to hand out infractions in 'waves'...
The important thing to note here is when your account is taken offline, the detection probably happened days, weeks, or months prior. What you were doing when the account actually went offline (or the couple of days before) is probably not the reason for the infraction. There are some notable exceptions to this—most of them involve player reports, or exploiting the game world.
The game owner issues infractions in 'waves' for several reasons:
-By far, the main reason is they do not wish to give the bot makers a clue as to what exactly is being detected.
This prevents the bot makers from taking decisive and immediate counter-measures.
-Has a measurable psychologic impact to the botting communities.
The technique is quite effective, and actually does scare people into ceasing to bot.
-Gives their non-botting playerbase much joy
These people savor the mass of bitter tears and "boo hoo"ing that occurs in the botting community after a ban.
-Creates a financial windfall for the game owner
Most botters immediately go out and buy fresh copies of the game—particularly if it is 'on sale'.
It is not uncommon for a game owner to penalize an account that has been idle or inactive for months. When you are detected, you are put on a list for future punishment. During each wave, the list is processed according to rules only known to the game owner. We have observed that some accounts remain on the list for future action. This is meant to create confusion in the botting Communities as to the specifics of how a botter got caught. Thus, if "they missed you in this ban wave", you are most likely still on the list and will be punished at a future date that will make no sense to you, whatsoever.
If any of you haven't read this, I implore you. It has great information that answers alot of these "Tripwire activated but I haven't been banned yet!" Mentalities.
Just because the event (That almost literally just happened) did not cause you to become immediately banned, does not mean you are free and clear.
As this section says, they have been known to put people on a list for future punishment. Read this next section carefully.
This post explains the 'official' reasoning for this. In reality, suspending an account instead of perma-banning has these benefits for the game owner:
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When pressed for subscriber numbers, the game owner can include the suspended accounts
Since the last account status was 'active', they can legitimately include them in the subscriber numbers when reporting financial health to shareholders, or trying to demonstrate 'leadership' in the industry.
-Owners of suspended accounts will frequently buy new accounts while they wait for the suspension to be lifted
This has the effect of artificially inflating the subscriber numbers.
Note the underlined text. Now if we think about it: what major event happened that would really benefit Bliz monetarily?....Thats right! The movie.
If we think logically about this, because of the strategic time placement for the Warcraft movie, Bliz subscriber count has sky-rocketed from the last 6 months in from hype of the movie, and in anticipation of Legion.
Also, Bliz has stopped posting their subscriber counts publicly due to poor numbers, but with this, now they have the ability to boast again.
So for the TL

R form, Don't get cocky. Just because you haven't been banned less than 12 hours since the event, does not mean you are safe. Maybe when their numbers are at their highest, (Potentially after Legion release) Bliz will start culling the herd. Taking these lists they have been making and wiping the slate clean.
Sincerely,
Someone who just got their account back after the December 16th banwave.
P.S. READ THAT FORUM POST TO COMPLETION>