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Depends on the gear and time of day. Once you have the 397 gear and 4k resilience it becomes easier.
But yes it is very bad in the beginning. And if there is multiple bots it is even worse. On bad nights I would win like 20% max. Good nights closer to the 50% range.
That's funny that you say that about horde, because as alliance on my server, I win 1 in 20 BGs, even with full Ruthless and over 4k resil. Alliance on my server are just a bunch of kids that like running around and killing horde, which makes capturing bases and flags impossible.
Search ur servers battlegroup up. And that is the cause. The US Whirlwind battlegroup is horde dominated. But some times if the almighty wow gods are kind we actually get a good game and win. so it depends really.