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D3 gold bounce and other thought on D3 gold.

Soullinker

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To be honest i am not that experienced, but today i keep noticing strange bounces in the RMAH when checking the price of gold.
At one point it is 1,46 Euro per 1mil (with average 10 trades on 1,37), after 30 min its down to 1,35 (with average trade of 1,29), after 30 min its on 1,42 euro per mil.

I saw this pattern couple of times today, true that this is the first time i have spend some much time on the RMAH and checking prices, but are these fluctuations normal? As far as i can make any scene about it its is just a sudden influx of billions of gold for very low price on the RMAH, i find it hard to believe that it was a drop in demand because of the sudden bounce to the same level before the low point.

Now what i am interested is are there really people or company with such a supply that can influence the entire RMAH even if for just 30 min? I really can't believe that, due to the volume of gold needed to do that, and the lower than average price(lower buy 20 cents). Yet i don't have such great experience to know if that is possible or not.

Another thing that i am wondering is will the gold price stay t 1,41(around that) or it will start going down in time? Common knowledge tells me that gold should go down with people leveling Paragorn and more and more bots getting in for the profit, while i think the D3 player base is getting smaller(i judge this by the whine on the D3 forums) or staying the same. How low can gold really go?
 
To be honest i am not that experienced, but today i keep noticing strange bounces in the RMAH when checking the price of gold.
At one point it is 1,46 Euro per 1mil (with average 10 trades on 1,37), after 30 min its down to 1,35 (with average trade of 1,29), after 30 min its on 1,42 euro per mil.

I saw this pattern couple of times today, true that this is the first time i have spend some much time on the RMAH and checking prices, but are these fluctuations normal? As far as i can make any scene about it its is just a sudden influx of billions of gold for very low price on the RMAH, i find it hard to believe that it was a drop in demand because of the sudden bounce to the same level before the low point.

Now what i am interested is are there really people or company with such a supply that can influence the entire RMAH even if for just 30 min? I really can't believe that, due to the volume of gold needed to do that, and the lower than average price(lower buy 20 cents). Yet i don't have such great experience to know if that is possible or not.

Another thing that i am wondering is will the gold price stay t 1,41(around that) or it will start going down in time? Common knowledge tells me that gold should go down with people leveling Paragorn and more and more bots getting in for the profit, while i think the D3 player base is getting smaller(i judge this by the whine on the D3 forums) or staying the same. How low can gold really go?

There are company's who buy for 1-3million a day easily for diablo 3 so they can decide the market for a bit but besides that there aren't any official botting company's who decide the market since most people who have 1000+ bots and make 500k let's say a month from it usually don't mention it on boards and there are people who do it for example the same people who have gold selling sites goldfarm but also buy gold becouse they cannot supply enough as there demand is.

Basically to sum it up it could be but it's usually more the demand of alot of people and company's players etc who make up the price you can't just buy everyone off becouse there will always be someone cutting ur price.
Company a buys for 300k a day company b buys for 3m a day for example then if company a buys for a higher price then company b then company b will sell his supply first but seeing as most prices are around the same price nowadays nobody likes cutting each other off too much as the little kids who play the games do.
Company's who cut each other off do that with for example 0.1 cents/m becouse if they cut each other off 10 cents they would be crazy.
With around 3m worth of gold you coulden't make the price drop alot if you sold it over a full day there's too much of a market.

Will prob be around this price for a while untill mop hits and then lower a bit and then go stable again I know it's a different genre mmo instead of arpg but still most people who play d3 play wow and so it will slightly or bigger then that affect it but I think it will survive.
 
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There are no "more and more" bots. Amount of bots is in decline, that's for sure, blizzard is banning harder each time, especially leveling profiles so most people stop botting once they get banned. Only question is what's gonna drop faster, supply (amount of bots) or demand (playerbase is declining).
I expect it to go down a bit and then up again when PvP patch comes around
 
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